Since M11 Credit and Maple announced that Auros was suffering from liquidity issues and Orthogonal Trading had allegedly misrepresented their financials, members have discussed how the mutual should proceed with the capital pool assets invested in M11 Credit’s wETH lending pool.
Members have signaled support to withdraw from the wETH pool and delegate the withdrawal process to DAO investment team, per the Snapshot signaling vote results.
Since the situation remains fluid and M11 Credit has been issuing periodic updates, I will collect any updates pertaining to the wETH pool in this thread and provide members with regular updates, as they become available. This thread will also serve as a forum for the DAO investment team to provide status updates, as necessary when new information becomes available.
The DAO investment team will post the next update and provide members with a status update on the funds deposited in the M11 Credit wETH pool on Maple Finance.
23 December 2022 | M11 Credit has airdropped MPL to lenders in their wETH lending pool today. Nexus Mutual received 14,571.94 MPL (valued @ $46,630.21 at the time of writing).
DAO Investment Team Update from @Dopeee | Status as of 23 December 2022
With all of the information we currently have, our understanding is that withdrawing funds from the pool will incur a very significant penalty of 51.56%. However, the projected realized recovery is far in excess of this figure, given the current information and plan. Considering this, we believe that the most profitable path from here is to remain in the pool and continue with a workout plan.
Ideally, this plan will include short-term payments of a significant percentage of our exposure. This would likely require some loans to be rolled and potentially a small amount of credit exposure is exchanged for equity.
There is still no precise plan agreed with liquidators on how this workout plan will unfold. We have enough confidence in the current assets of borrowers that even with a poorly designed workout, we will be able to recover more capital if we remain in the pool than withdrawing from the pool given the current impairment. This assumes that there is no significant default on other outstanding loans, particularly to Flow Traders. It’s quite hard to quantify this risk, given that the same M11 Credit assessment for Flow Traders led to defaults on Auros and Orthogonal Trading loans. Having said that, the most recent financials suggest that Flow Traders are still in a strong position. With heavy non-crypto market exposure, they were not and are not in the same position as other borrowers with regards to the contagion’s impact on their corporate financial health.
Overall, it seems that the best path from here is to continue toward a workout plan with the goal of near full recovery. This comes at the expense of time and demands further exposure to the types of loans that have defaulted so far. Because Auros’ loans have been impaired to zero, although the expected recovery is very high, removing funds now would require taking a hit far beyond the true value of our deposit in the pool. Even with a decent cushion for defaults on other loans, a workout with heavy short-term repayments seems to be the best path forward.
There is now 13,218 wETH, worth around $21.6m, in the Enzyme vault.
SUMMARY
ETH was deposited to Enzyme, converted to wETH and deposited into the pool.
Following the FTX debacle, Orthogonal Trading and Auros missed repayments due to liquidity issues.
The investment hub was given the power by a member vote to act on behalf of the mutual to pursue the best recovery possible. In practice, this looked like hundreds of hours of calls and negotiations to look at every possible avenue for getting to a full recovery.
Auros filed for voluntary bankruptcy and following a court proceeding, was able to raise additional funds to continue operation.
Auros repaid all existing Maple loans, and was issued new loans.
Due to excess funds in the protocol, from loan repayments from Flow Traders, and the lack of withdrawals from other parties, we were able to get 100% of our remaining funds out from Maple. This was not our expected outcome, so we’re quite pleased with the resolution. We expected to be forced to roll nearly half of our funds into future loans for Auros, which was the resolution mandated by the court following negotiations with counterparties like M11.
But because other parties did not withdraw in time, and the excess funds which M11 decided to retain for withdrawals rather than reissuing, we were able to fully exit. The remaining funds in the M11 pool, which Nexus Mutual is no longer part of, will use the remaining capital to issue the required loans for Auros.
Orthogonal Trading is still defaulted.
Any future assets returned by Orthogonal Trading to Maple will be airdropped proportionally to the parties impacted, us included, despite not remaining in the pool.
The investment hub will continue to work with Maple and M11 to pursue Orthogonal Trading for the best recovery possible.
Given the funds are now returned, the investment hubs’ powers to control these funds are now entirely eliminated and all future decisions will need to be made via governance, as usual.
Now, the funds are in our Enzyme vault. There’s been a proposal that we should utilize the wETH for a buyback, given that they are already out of our smart contracts and in Enzyme, which would make completing a purchase of wNXM far easier.
Latest update on recovery following Orthogonal default
Maple successfully petitioned for liquidators to be put into place and Maple’s selection (Kroll) was approved by the BVI court.
The liquidators are in full control of Orthogonal assets.
The investigation and asset recovery process is currently underway, including the work to verify Orthogonal Trading’s FTX claim.
As with all bankruptcy processes, it can take some time to work through and it is tough to place a precise timeline on outcomes.
Maple’s priority is to expedite recovery of funds for affected lenders - all avenues will be considered as potential solutions arise. Then, members can vote where we have an option, to decide what path we take.